Publications

Kim Kaivanto (2025). The Precautionary Principle and the Innovation Principle: Incompatible Guides for AI Innovation Governance?.

Mark Roulston, Kim Kaivanto (2024). Joint-Outcome Prediction Markets for Climate Risks. PLOS ONE 19(8): e0309164.

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Mark Roulston, Kim Kaivanto (2024). Can expert prediction markets forecast climate-related risks?. BAMS.

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Iain Embrey, Kim Kaivanto (2023). Many phish in the C: A coexisting-choice-criteria model of security behavior. Risk Analysis 43(4): 645-866.

Mark Roulston, Todd Kaplan, Brett Day, Kim Kaivanto (2022). Prediction-market innovations can improve climate-risk forecasts. Nature Climate Change 12(9).

Kim Kaivanto, Peng Zhang (2022). Is Business Formation Driven by Sentiment or Fundamentals. European Journal of Finance.

Kim Kaivanto, Peng Zhang (2019). Popular Music, Sentiment, and Noise Trading. Economics Working Paper Series, Lancaster University: No. 2019-20.

Kim Kaivanto, Peng Zhang (2019). Investor Sentiment as a Predictor of Market Returns. Economics Working Paper Series, Lancaster University: No. 2019-13.

Kim Kaivanto, Daniel Steel (2019). Adjusting Inferential Thresholds to Reflect Nonepistemic Values. Philosophy of Science 86(2): 255-285.

Kim Kaivanto, David Peel (2019). Pre-Decision Side-Bet Sequences. Economics Bulletin 19(1):533-539.

Phil Warren, Kim Kaivanto, Daniel Prince (2018). Could a Cyber Attack Cause a Systemic Impact in the Financial Sector?. Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin 2018(4):1-11.

Iain Embrey, Kim Kaivanto (2018). Many phish in the C: A coexisting-choice-criteria model of security behavior. Economics Working Paper Series, Lancaster University: No. 2018-02.

Kim Kaivanto (2018). Warnings Unheeded.

Kim Kaivanto, Peng Zhang (2018). A Fuel-Payload Ratio Based Flight-Segmentation Benchmark. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and the Environment 63: 548-559.

Kim Kaivanto (2018). Community-Level Natural Resource Management Institutions: A Noncooperative Equilibrium Example. International Journal of the Commons 12(1): 548-572.

Kim Kaivanto (2017). Ensemble Prospectism. Theory and Decision 83(4):535-546.

Kim Kaivanto, Daniel Prince (2017). Risks and Transaction Costs of Distributed-Ledger Fintech: Boundary Effects and Consequences. arXiv:1702.08478.

Kim Kaivanto, Peng Zhang (2017). Rank-order concordance among conflicting emissions estimates for informing flight choice. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and the Environment 50:418-430.

Kim Kaivanto (2014). The Effect of Decentralized Behavioral Decision Making on System-Level Risk. Risk Analysis 34(12):2121-2142.